Karl Jurka is an advisor for politics. He believes: Friedrich Merz stays chancellor not long. He thinks, Merz is gone until Christmas. Merz made heavy mistakes. The expert says this in a talk.
There are 3 options for the future. First: Merz stays chancellor, but another leads the party. Second: The bosses of Union and SPD change. Third: There are new elections. But almost no person wants new elections. Then the party AfD could win.
Maybe Hendrik Wüst becomes the new chancellor. He is the boss of North Rhine-Westphalia. Also Markus Söder from Bavaria is a candidate. But Wüst has better chances. The SPD would accept both men as chancellor.
The government has problems. The economy in Germany does not grow. Many companies leave the country. Also at the topic taxes there is no help. The people in the country are unhappy. Merz could change little until now.